Saturday, August 31, 2013

Save yourself from fraudulent Chit Fund Investments

Sarita and her husband Shiva earn an income by working as a maid and a driver in the Vijayawada district of Andhra Pradesh. They invest a part of their income in the Dhanarashi Chit fund that is run by a local jeweller. When the first meeting was called for the auction of the fund, Sarita and her husband did not participate and chose to wait for better returns.

However, by the time Sarita was ready to bid, the jewellery shop was busted and the owners were caught by the police for fraudulent transactions. The police assured Sarita and other investors of the fund that their money would be returned; however, it's been over a year and they have still not received any news.

What are Chit Funds?

Chit funds are indigenous saving mechanism that is unorganised and run between friends, families and known persons. Chit funds are easy to join as there is very little paperwork to be submitted and the entire set up is based on trust.

They have been around for over 1000 years and are present in other countries too where they are popularly known as Rotating Savings and Credit Associations.

How do they function?

Suppose a group of 65 members come together and contribute Rs. 3,000 every month for 65 months. The corpus will collect Rs. 1, 95,000 in the first instalment. Every month, an auction will be held in which the members are allowed to bid for the chit fund amount collected that month and the person offering the lowest bid will be awarded the bid.

The bid will begin at a minimum discount of 5 percent (foreman/fund administrator's commission) and can go up to a maximum of 40 percent. Suppose the winning bidder is willing to offer a discount of 35 percent in the first month, then, she will get Rs 1,26,750.

The discount amount of Rs. 68,250 minus the 5 percent commission to the foreman will be distributed as dividend amongst all the members.

So, once the foreman is paid Rs 3,412.50 as commission, the balance amount of Rs 64,837.50 is distributed among the 65 members and each member is entitled to Rs 997.50 as dividend.

The dividend amount is adjusted with the next month's instalment to be paid by the members and hence the next instalment contributed will be Rs. 2002.50. 

The winner of the bid, also known as the "prized member" will have to continue contributing to the chit fund for all 65 months even though they are not allowed to bid again.

The members who wait till the end for lower discounts will be the ones who really make a profit in the fund. The returns are not assured as it depends largely on the bidding interest.

Why are they Popular?

Chit funds are one of the most popular investment vehicles in the country even though it is unregulated and the entire set up is built on trust. Small businessmen and low income group individuals can avail funds on time at nominal rates through bids.

Individuals who bid early in the chit funds do not earn any returns and end up paying an "effective" interest to avail the funds on an urgent basis.
It is difficult to assess the profit or loss a person makes from chit funds as the outcome is largely dependent on the bid results.

Often, persons who have bid early have been able to avail funds at lower rates than what they would have had to pay the bank on availing a loan.

Regulation

A Chit Fund Act, 1982, has been framed to regulate and control chit fund operation by various state governments, but unorganised chit funds are rampant in the country.

Since the chit fund need to deposit 100 percent value of the "pot" with the registrar of Chits prior to commencement of the chit scheme, small funds do not register themselves as then they will have to forego the auction for the first month as the foreman is paid the first month's fund to compensate him/her for the deposit made.

Different Types of Frauds

Chit fund frauds have become a major issue and happen for various reasons, such as:

• The foreman/fund manager disappears with the corpus amount.

• A member could default in instalment payment or disappear after winning the first bid.

• The discount rate might be rigged and a desperate member might end up paying a higher discount.

It is advisable to invest only in registered chit funds that have completed many chit funds in the past. The Ministry of Corporate Affairs has an exhaustive list of registered chit funds; however, many chit funds get unlisted, so do your research before investing. 

Secondly, only invest in a chit fund if you are confident that you will be able to complete all the instalments or you might end up paying a penalty. 

Considering the risks, it is inadvisable to invest in chit funds, but if you intend to join one, do your homework thoroughly as  there is very little scope of recovery in case of a scam.

    

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Friday, August 30, 2013

Top 5 Investments For 2014

Forget yesterday's losses: The markets are roaring back into the green this Thursday, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI  ) is making investors everywhere smile. As of 2:15 p.m. EDT, the Dow has pulled in gains of 116 points, or 0.79%, once again closing in on a record high. Surprisingly good economic data and a welcome decision from Europe have fueled investor confidence today, and nearly every stock on the Dow is in the green. Let's catch up on the stories you need to know.

Good news on both sides of the Atlantic
The European Central Bank kicked things off this morning by cutting interest rates in an attempt to light a fire under the continent's lagging business activity. The cut brings rates to a new record low, and as inflation dips, Europe risks stagnating in its recessionary climate. ECB President Mario Draghi will likely need to do more in order to prop up the European economy as Italy and Spain, among other nations, still face mountains of debt and high unemployment.

Top 5 Investments For 2014: Croflight Minerals Inc (CML.TO)

CaNickel Mining Limited, a junior mining company, engages in the exploration, extraction, and processing of nickel-containing ore properties in Canada. The company owns and operates the Bucko Lake Mine located near Wabowden, Manitoba. It also holds interests in nickel, copper, and platinum group mineral projects in Thompson Nickel Belts, Manitoba and the Sudbury Basin, Ontario. The company was formerly known as Crowflight Minerals Inc. and changed its name to CaNickel Mining Limited in June 2011. CaNickel Mining Limited was founded in 1937 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Top 5 Investments For 2014: E-Commerce China Dangdang Inc.(DANG)

E-Commerce China Dangdang Inc. operates as a business-to-consumer e-commerce company in the People?s Republic of China. It engages in the sales of Chinese and foreign language books, and music CDs, VCDs, and DVDs through its Website dangdang.com. The company also offers general merchandise products, such as beauty and personal care products; home and lifestyle products; consumer electronics; baby, children, and maternity products; apparel and accessories; and footwear, handbags, and luggage. In addition, it operates the dangdang.com marketplace program, which enables third-party merchants to sell their products alongside products sourced by the company. The company is headquartered in Beijing, the People?s Republic of China.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    Another stock that has already started to trigger a big breakout is E Commerce China Dangdang(DANG), a business-to-consumer, e-commerce company in the People's Republic of China. The sellers have been very successful in knocking this stock down this year, and shares are off by over 70%.

    If you take a look at the chart for E Commerce China Dangdang, you'll notice that the short-sellers have done a number on this stock, since it has plunged from its July high of $14.88 to a recent low of $4.50 a share. Since hitting that low, the stock has rebounded sharply to its current price of around $7 a share. Shares of Dangdang have also just started to move back above its 50-day moving average of $6.34 a share. Even more important, the stock has just today started to take out some big overhead resistance at around $6.50 a share.

    Market players should now watch for this stock to trade and close above $6.50 a share today with strong volume. Look for volume to finish the day near or well above its three-month average action of 2.4 million shares. If we get some decent volume, and the stock closes strong, then this stock should set up to make a run back toward $8 a share or much higher.

    One could be a buyer of this stock off any weakness and simply use a mental stop just below the 50-day moving average in case the breakout fails. Keep in mind that volume on Thursday was 2.9 million shares as the stock traded up. Look for strength and volume in the stock to continue to signal that much big spike is coming for DANG in the coming days or weeks.

    This stock has an enormous short interest, with over 45% of the tradable float currently sold short by the bears. Look for the short-sellers to start covering fast if the stock really starts to launch into orbit off current levels.

Top 5 Casino Companies To Invest In 2014: Lincoln Educational Services Corporation(LINC)

Lincoln Educational Services Corporation provides post-secondary education services in the United States. The company offers degree and diploma programs for recent high school graduates and working adults in the areas of studies, such as health science, automotive technology, skilled trades, business and information technology, and hospitality services. As of December 31, 2011, it had 19,204 enrolled students. The company operates 46 schools in 17 states under Lincoln Technical Institute, Lincoln College of Technology, Lincoln College of New England, Nashville Auto-Diesel College, and Euphoria Institute of Beauty Arts and Sciences brand names, as well as offers online programs. Lincoln Educational Services Corporation was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in West Orange, New Jersey.

Top 5 Investments For 2014: Cream Minerals Ltd. (CMA.V)

Cream Minerals Ltd., an exploration stage company, engages in the acquisition and exploration of mineral properties in Mexico and Canada. Its primarily holds a 100% interests in Nuevo Milenio Silver-Gold property covering 2,560 hectares located in the municipality of Xalisco, state of Nayarit, Mexico. The company was formerly known as Cream Silver Mines Ltd. and changed its name to Cream Minerals Ltd. in September 1994. Cream Minerals Ltd. was incorporated in 1966 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

Top 5 Investments For 2014: Cleveland BioLabs Inc.(CBLI)

Cleveland BioLabs, Inc., a biotechnology company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of products for cancer treatment, and protection of normal tissues from radiation and other acute stresses. Its products include Protectan CBLB502, a radioprotectant molecule with multiple medical and defense applications for reducing injury from acute stresses, such as radiation and chemotherapy by mobilizing various natural cell protecting mechanisms, including inhibition of apoptosis, reduction of oxidative damage, and induction of factors that induce protection and regeneration of stem cells in bone marrow and the intestines; Protectan CBLB612, a modified lipopeptide mycoplasma that acts as a stimulator and mobilizer of hematopoietic stem cells to peripheral blood, providing hematopoietic recovery during chemotherapy and during donor preparation for bone marrow transplantation; and Curaxins, which are small molecules intended to destroy tumor cells by simultan eously targeting two regulators of apoptosis. The company has a strategic research partnership with Roswell Park Cancer Institute to develop its anticancer and radioprotectant drug candidates; a strategic partnership with ChemBridge Corporation to access a chemical library of 214,000 compounds; and a strategic alliance with The Cleveland Clinic Foundation (CCF). It also has a cooperative research and development agreement with the Uniformed Services University of the Health Sciences; the Henry M. Jackson Foundation for the Advancement of Military Medicine, Inc.; and CCF to evaluate its radioprotective drug candidates and their effects on intracellular and extracellular signaling pathways. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.

Thursday, August 29, 2013

Top Financial Stocks To Invest In 2014

Among recent enforcement actions were a $1 million fine and $353,000 in restitution ordered by FINRA against StateTrust Investments over excessive markups and markdowns in fraudulent corporate bond transactions; charges against a China-based company and its CEO by the SEC for misleading investors about its financial condition; SEC charges against a medical device company for misleading shareholders about the FDA’s opinion of its product; and an amicus brief filed by the SEC in a case concerning market manipulation and misrepresentation.

FINRA Fines StateTrust Investments $1 Million, Orders Restitution

StateTrust Investments, Inc. was fined $1.045 million by FINRA and ordered to pay restitution of $353,000, plus interest, to customers who were affected by excessive markups and markdowns in fraudulent corporate bond transactions. In addition, the agency also sanctioned the firm’s head trader, Jose Luis Turnes, suspending him for six months and fining him $75,000.

Top Financial Stocks To Invest In 2014: Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund Inc(UTF)

Cohen & Steers Infrastructure Fund, Inc. operates as a closed-end, nondiversified management investment company. It invests primarily in a portfolio of common stocks, preferred stocks, and other equity securities issued by utility companies; and in preferred securities and other fixed income securities of other companies. The fund?s investment portfolio primarily includes investments in various companies operating in utilities, agricultural chemicals, financials media real estate, specialty, food products, insurance, oil exploration and production, automotive, telecommunications sectors. Cohen & Steers Capital Management, Inc. serves as the investment manager of the fund. The fund, formerly known as Cohen & Steers Select Utility Fund, Inc., was founded in 2004 and is based in the New York City.

Top Financial Stocks To Invest In 2014: Newcastle Investment Corp (NCT)

Newcastle Investment Corp. (Newcastle) is a real estate investment and finance company. Newcastle invests in, and actively manages, a portfolio of, real estate securities, loans, excess mortgage servicing rights (MSRs) and other real estate related assets. The Company segments include unlevered CDOs, which include unlevered investments in deconsolidated Newcastle CDO debt; unlevered excess MSRs; non-recourse other, which includes investments financed with other non-recourse debt; recourse, which includes investments and debt repurchases financed with recourse debt; unlevered other, which includes other unlevered investments, and corporate. In April 2011, Newcastle sold its retained interests in Newcastle CDO VII, a non-consolidated VIE of Newcastle. On May 15, 2013, the Company announced the spin-off of New Residential Investment Corp. In June 2013, Newcastle Investment Corp completed the sale of 100% of the assets in Newcastle CDO IV.

Real Estate Securities

Newcastle underwrite, acquire and manage a portfolio of credit sensitive real estate securities, including commercial mortgage backed securities (CMBS), senior unsecured real estate investment trust (REIT) debt issued by REITs, real estate related asset backed securities (ABS), including subprime securities, and Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA)/ Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. (FHLMC) securities. As of December 31, 2011, the Company�� real estate securities represented 47.4% of its assets.

Real Estate Related Loans

Newcastle acquires and originates loans to real estate owners, including B-notes, mezzanine loans, corporate bank loans, and whole loans. As of December 31, 2011, the Company�� real estate related loans represented 22.3% of its assets.

Residential Mortgage Loans

Newcastle acquires residential mortgage loans, including manufactured housing loans and subprime mortgage loans. As of December 31, 2011, the Company�� residential mortgage loans rep! resented 9.1% of its assets.

Operating Real Estate

Newcastle acquires and manages direct and indirect interests in operating real estate. As of December 31, 2011, the Company�� operating real estate represented 0.9% of its assets.

Excess Mortgage Servicing Rights

Newcastle invested in excess MSRs in December 2011. As of December 31, 2011, the Company�� interests in these rights represented 1.2% of its assets.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jonas Elmerraji]

    You don't have to be an expert technical analyst to figure out what's going on in shares of Newcastle Investment (NCT) -- a quick glance at the chart will do. NCT has been in an uptrend since the end of December, rallying as it got pushed by tailwinds in the real estate sector and then spun off its residential financing unit into New Residential Investment (NRZ) in May.

    Adjusting shares of NCT for the spinoff gives us the chart above.

    As you might expect, the best time to be a buyer in NCT is on a bounce off of support. Buying off a support bounce makes sense for two big reasons: It's the spot where shares have the furthest to move up before they hit resistance, and it's the spot where the risk is the least (because shares have the least room to move lower before you know you're wrong).

    The fact that NCT has managed to clear its previous swing high from May speaks volumes about this stock's relative strength right now. Historically, high relative strength tends to continue to outperform the market for another three to 10 months. That puts NCT owners in a good position for the second part of 2013.

Hot Cheap Companies To Own For 2014: FirstMerit Corporation(FMER)

FirstMerit Corporation operates as the bank holding company for FirstMerit Bank, N.A. that provides a range of banking, fiduciary, financial, insurance, and investment services to corporate, institutional, and individual customers in northern and central Ohio, and western Pennsylvania. The company?s commercial business offers commercial term loans, revolving credit arrangements, asset-based lending, leasing, commercial mortgages, real estate construction lending, letters of credit, cash management services, and other depository products. Its retail business provides various financial products and services, including consumer direct and indirect installment loans, debit and credit cards, debit gift cards, residential mortgage loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, fixed and variable annuities, and ATM network services, as well as deposit products comprising checking, savings, money market accounts, and certificates of deposit. The company?s wealth business provides a sset management, private banking, financial planning, estate settlement and administration, and credit and deposit products and services. FirstMerit Corporation also offers trust and investment services, including personal trust and planning, and investment management; retirement plan services; retail mutual funds, other securities, variable and fixed annuities, personal disability and life insurance products, and brokerage services; and private banking services, including credit, deposit, and asset management solutions. As of December 31, 2009, it operated a network of 160 full service banking offices and 182 ATMs. The company was founded in 1855 and is headquartered in Akron, Ohio.

Top Financial Stocks To Invest In 2014: Fulton Financial Corporation (FULT)

Fulton Financial Corporation operates as a multi-bank financial holding company that provides various banking and financial services to businesses and consumers. It offers various deposits, such as checking account and savings deposit products, certificates of deposits, and individual retirement accounts. The company also provides consumer lending products, including commercial and industrial, financial, agricultural, and real estate loans; secured consumer loan products comprising home equity loans and lines of credit; fixed and variable-rate products, including construction loans and jumbo loans; residential mortgages; and consumer loan products consisting of automobile loans, automobile and equipment leases, personal lines of credit, and checking account overdraft protection. In addition, it offers equipment leasing, letters of credit, cash management services, and traditional deposit products; and investment management, trust, brokerage, insurance, and investment advis ory services. Further, the company is involved in reinsuring credit life, and accident and health insurance; and sells various life insurance products. As of March 19, 2013, Fulton Financial Corporation operated 267 branches in Pennsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, New Jersey, and Virginia. The company was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Lancaster, Pennsylvania.

Top Financial Stocks To Invest In 2014: Cred Valtellines(PCVI.MI)

Credito Valtellinese Societa Cooperativa provides financial and investment products and services to private and business customers primarily in Italy. The company offers various investment and bancassurance products, such as savings products, unrestricted deposits, current accounts, certificates of deposit, repurchase agreements, and bonds, as well as life insurance and non life insurance products. It also provides various lending products and services comprising mortgages, credit cards, personal loans, salary backed loans, finance leases, consumer loans, and production household loans. In addition, the company offers various transfer products and services, including a range of services to deposit money, and manage collections and disbursements. As of December 31, 2010, it operated a network of 543 branches in Lombardia, Piemonte, Trentino Alto Adige, Veneto, Emilia Romagna, Toscana, Marche, Umbria, Lazio, and Sicilia, as well as operated 663 ATMs. The company was founded in 1908 and is headquartered in Sondrio, Italy.

Wednesday, August 28, 2013

Best Small Cap Companies To Own For 2014

At the beginning of the year, I authored an article laying out fifty predictions for 2013. The picks ranged from highly speculative to coin tosses that I believed had a better than average chance of going in my direction based on market strategies that have historically outperformed. Below I list the fifty predictions in bold with commentary on how this forecast has fared year-to-date. I have given myself letter ratings on each prediction. Feel free to assign your own grades in the comments section.

U.S. Stocks

The S&P 500 (SPY) makes a new all-time high, but closes beneath that plateau for the year. The S&P 500 eclipsed its former all-time high close of 1565 on March 28th, faster than I anticipated. With the index now ending the week above 1700 for the first time, closing below 1565 for the year seems a distant memory. Not everyone was calling for a new all-time high to be reached in 2013, and investment bank equity analysts were targeting on average high single digit annual gains at the beginning of the year. I did not expect a 19.9% return through the beginning of August, but I will take it. Grade: BThe equal-weighted S&P 500 (RSP) outperforms its capitalization-weighted alternative. The equal weighted index has produced a total return of 23.34%, besting the market capitalization-weighted S&P 500. Long-time readers know that I have long extolled the virtues of equal weighting. The lagging performance of former top holding Apple (AAPL), which has 1/14th of the weight in the equal weighted index has contributed to the outperformance of the equal weighted strategy. Grade: AThe Russell 2000 (IWM) outperforms the S&P 500 as small caps outpace large caps. The Russell 2000 has bested the S&P 500 by nearly five percent with the small cap index producing an impressive 24.8% return year-to-date. Grade: AThe shares of Bank of America (BAC) outperform J.P. Morgan (JPM) and Wells Fargo (WFC) on both an absolute and risk-adjusted basis. Bank of America has outperformed ! the broader market, producing a 28% total return year-to-date, but it has lagged Wells Fargo (32.1%) and J.P. Morgan (31.1%) while exhibiting higher volatility. Grade: C-The banking sector (XLF) outperforms the S&P 500. The Financial Selector Sector SPDR has produced a 27.9% year-to-date, besting the S&P 500 by roughly 8%. Grade: AHomebuilders (XHB) outperform the S&P 500, but not when adjusting for their variability of returns, which is over twice that of the broader market. Homebuilders, often extolled as top picks for 2013 given the domestic housing recovery, have lagged the S&P 500, producing a 16% total return that trails the broader market by roughly 4%. Trailing 200 day volatility has been 22% as compared to 12.4% for the S&P 500. Lots of investors were crowding into homebuilders in 2012, and this forecast was meant to highlight that alpha is only generated when outperformance is not achieved through simply taking more than proportional risk. Homebuilders have lagged and been much more risky than the market at large. Grade: B-Apollo Group (APOL), owner of the University of Phoenix, is taken private. Apollo Group is producing roughly the same amount of free cash flow as in 2006, but is trading at an enterprise value that is roughly one-sixth of its former level. Even despite the controversy over the efficacy of these for-profit learning institutions, and the wary eye of the federal government, I expect an investor to eventually lever up this still impressive cash generation machine. Grade: C-/IncompleteSafeway (SWY) spins off a portion of its real estate assets into a real estate investment trust, prompting a rise in the shares of the grocer. Safeway has produced a 40% total return and a 74% return over the last twelve months. When Seeking Alpha came out with its Alpha Rich article ideas, Safeway was going to be my first article, but my exposure as a lender to the company at my day job made this a conflict of interest to which I did not want to run afoul. I believed that the co! mpany, wh! ich had aggressively bought back shares in the past two years only to see its share price continue to swoon, would follow Canadian grocer Loblaw into the REIT concept. Low interest rates had increased the value of REIT equities, and a business that owned the company's real estate assets and leased them to the grocer could command a premium value while freeing up an additional capital expenditure budget that the grocer could use to streamline its business, reduce debt, or return additional capital to shareholders. Instead in April 2013, Safeway IPO'd a minority portion of its prepaid and gift card network, Blackhawk (HAWK), and in June 2013 Safeway sold its Canadian grocery assets to Empire's Sobeys Inc for C$5.8bn with proceeds used to buy back shares and reduce a debt level that had taken the company to the cusp of below investment grade ratings. Safeway appeared ripe for a reorganization of its assets and capital structure to drive value, and that is what has occurred in 2013, albeit in a slightly different form than I envisioned. Grade: B+Groupon (GRPN) is taken private for less than half of the value Google (GOOG) had originally offered the firm pre-IPO. Groupon has soared by nearly 80% in 2012 taking the value of the firm to roughly three-quarters of the $6 billion offer from Google. The increased valuation and limited EBITDA ($150mm) makes a takeover far less likely. Grade: DAn activist shareholder takes a major stake in Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), driving the stock to a market beating annual return. Hewlett Packard has returned a scintillating 89% year-to-date. I believed that the company's low valuation at the beginning of the year would invite activist shareholders, which failed to take place; however, lots of shareholders bought into the HPQ turnaround story, driving the stock to top percentile returns in the S&P 500. Grade: A-An activist shareholder takes a major stake in Dell (DELL), driving the stock to a market beating annual return. The MBO-led by Michael Dell and Silver Lake was proposed ! just week! s after this article, and has made Dell one of the most topical stocks of 2013. The stock is up 35% year-to-date while the future ownership of the company remains in doubt. The stock returned 30% in the month after this article was written. Grade: AEither U.S. Bancorp (USB) or PNC Financial Services (PNC) makes a major acquisition to broaden their geographic footprint, spurring further consolidation in the banking sector. I thought that USB or PNC would use their strong balance sheets to buy a footprint in the U.S. Southeast and chase the majors, but this has not come to fruition and regional banks have rallied strongly, increasing the sticker price on such a transaction. Every year prognosticators look north to the handful of oligopolistic banks in Canada and assume that the thousands of banks in the U.S. will choose to consolidate... maybe next year. Grade C-Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) loses its heretofore sacrosanct AAA rating, choosing to re-lever its balance sheet and return cash to shareholders amidst record low borrowing levels. The company is in the midst of a $2 billion share repurchase program and again increased its dividend, but both moves were consistent with their long-term conservative capital allocation framework. JNJ was rumored to be in the bidding for Bausch & Lomb, whose $10 billion price tag may have triggered a ratings downgrade given the amount of debt that would have needed to be absorbed. I continue to believe that debt levels consistent with AAA ratings is not the optimal capital structure given that JNJ had the ability to issue long-term debt with an after-tax interest cost roughly equal to long-run inflation. That window has likely closed given the backup in interest rates, but would still likely be value accretive given that the debt tax shield outweighs the increase in credit spreads from a more levered capital structure. Grade C-Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) makes an acquisition in the $20 billion enterprise valuation range. Berkshire joined 3G Capital to buy Heinz (HNZ) ! for rough! ly $28 billion (including assumption of debt) of which Berkshire's share of the purchase price was roughly $12 billion. The company later bought NV Energy (NVE) for $5.6 billion. Grade: A-My guess is Cummins (CMI). I was wrong, but weakness in Cummins' international markets for its diesel engines has seen the company grow comparatively cheaper (13.6% return year-to-date), and I think that this business would still be consistent with Berkshire's long-term objectives. Grade: D+Alcoa (AA) is the Dow Jones laggard as persisting unfavorable supply/demand imbalance in aluminum further weakens results and prompts a cut of the company's debt to junk. Alcoa is one of only two stocks (Caterpillar) in the Dow that have posted negative returns year-to-date, but Alcoa's -7.6% return has trailed all thirty constituents. The company's debt was cut to junk by Moody's in late May. Grade: A+Aubrey McClendon, co-founder and CEO of Chesapeake Energy (CHK), follows up a disastrous 2012 with a strong 2013 as rising natural gas prices drive company results, and his part-owned Oklahoma City Thunder win their first NBA championship. Aubrey McClendon resigned under pressure in April due to a shareholder revolt by Carl Icahn and Southeastern Asset Management. Natural gas prices rose early in the year, but are now flat. Russell Westbrook injured his knee in the playoffs and the top seed in the Western Conference bowed out in the conference semifinals in ignominious fashion to the Memphis Grizzlies. Chesapeake's stock is up fifty percent on the year, but this was a bad year for the former CEO and co-founder. The stock performance keeps this prediction above an F, but just barely. Grade D-Best Buy (BBY) outperforms Amazon (AMZN), which has only 60% of the EBITDA of its bricks and mortar retail competitor, but has a market capitalization 28x higher. Best Buy has returned 167% in 2013, and is the top stock in the S&P 500. Amazon has market performed with a 21% return. While everyone bemoaned the fate of brick-and-mortar retail, th! ey forgot! to notice the impressive free cash flow that the company still produces. Grade A+J.C. Penney (JCP) outperforms Macy's (M). In an additional high beta bet on a big box rebound, J.C. Penney has been a failed turnaround story and was forced to jettison their ballyhooed CEO, draw down on their revolver due to a meteoric cash burn, and lost a long-term major shareholder in Vornado. The JCP stock has returned -28% as Macy's has continued to be a shining "star" up 27% year-to-date. Grade FDomestic automakers outperform their Japanese competitors as the strong yen and the territorial dispute between China/Japan hurts auto exports of the Japanese firms. The domestic automakers are off to a strong start with Ford (+35%) and General Motors (+28%) outpacing the market. Toyota (+61%), Nissan (+32%), and Honda (+18%) have all benefited from a yen weakened by Abe's aggressive monetary accommodation that has benefited exporters. Grade B-Newspapers lose their taint as troubled investments as online subscription growth of local and regional periodicals expands. John Henry, owner of the Boston Red Sox, announced the purchase of the Boston Globe today for $70 million, a far cry from the $1.1 billion that New York Times paid for the paper twenty years ago. Berkshire continues to buy strong local papers, but newspapers continue to be a place for deep value investors only. McClatchy (MNI) is down 5.2% on the year. Grade C-Property and casualty companies finally see a mild year for weather catastrophes, boosting results. Not sure why I was trying to predict the weather other than the bad catastrophes we have seen over the past several years were bound to normalize. The S&P Property and Casualty Index is up 27.3% year-to-date, strongly outperforming the broader market. I can not think of a named storm in 2013. Grade: A-

International Stocks

Best Small Cap Companies To Own For 2014: Achillion Pharmaceuticals Inc.(ACHN)

Achillion Pharmaceuticals, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the discovery, development, and commercialization of treatments for infectious diseases. The company focuses on the development of antivirals for the treatment of chronic hepatitis C; and the development of antibacterials for the treatment of resistant bacterial infections. Its drug candidates for the treatment of chronic HCV include ACH-1625, a protease inhibitor, which is in phase IIa clinical trial for the treatment of chronic HCV; ACH-2684, a pangenotypic protease inhibitor, which is in phase I clinical trial for the treatment of chronic HCV infection; and NS5A inhibitors for the treatment of chronic HCV infection, including ACH-2928, which is to enter a phase I clinical trial, as well as various additional NS5A inhibitors in preclinical development. Its pipeline of product candidates also includes ACH-702 and ACH-2881 for drug resistant bacterial infections; elvucitabine for HIV infection; and AC H-1095 for HCV infection. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in New Haven, Connecticut.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Brian Nichols]

    Achillion is an odd play because it has both the most upside and the most downside of any stock on this list. The company's developing and testing its hepatitis C treating drug, ACH-1625, which is currently in phase II. The results of initial testing have consisted of ups and downs, but after many years and a long process, ACH-1625, appears to be on the right track for an FDA approval.

    The upside in shares of ACHN comes from two places: encouraging data from trials and its likelihood of being acquired. In my opinion, ACHN has a very high chance of being acquired in the next 6 months. Both Pharmasset (VRUS) and Inhibitex (INHX) were acquired over the last 5 months with insanely large premiums. VRUS was purchased at a 81% premium and INHX for a 182% premium. ACHN is perhaps the most speculative, but it could also be purchased the cheapest.

    The stock's recently pulled back after a downgrade and is trading much lower over the last couple weeks. The stock's trend reminds me so much of INHX; the month following the VRUS acquisition when INHX traded higher by nearly 300%. But then after the one-month gain, INHX lost its momentum and traded lower by 40% before being acquired with a 182% premium. INHX traded higher after the VRUS purchase because investors thought it would also be acquired, because of its hepatitis C candidate. ACHN is following the same trend, from November 12 till January 13 the stock more than doubled, but has since retraced.

    At $10 I think ACHN is a buy, it does have a good HCV candidate, and I believe that big pharma will bid to acquire ACHN in the near future. However, the risk in ACHN is if the company's not acquired, then it could have significant loss over the next year. But in a competitive biotechnology industry I believe the reward is worth the risk, and that a large pharma company will take the chance and purchase ACHN in an attempt to stay competitive and capitalize on the trend of investors being bullish on HCV treating drugs.

Best Small Cap Companies To Own For 2014: FuelCell Energy Inc.(FCEL)

FuelCell Energy, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, manufacturing, and sale of high temperature fuel cells for clean electric power generation primarily in South Korea, the United States, Germany, Canada, and Japan. The company offers proprietary carbonate Direct FuelCell Power Plants that electrochemically produce electricity from hydrocarbon fuels, such as natural gas and biogas. Its fuel cells operate on a range of hydrocarbon fuels, including natural gas, renewable biogas, propane, methanol, coal gas, and coal mine methane. The company also develops carbonate fuel cells, planar solid oxide fuel cell technology, and other fuel cell technologies. It provides its products to universities; manufacturers; mission critical institutions, such as correction facilities and government installations; hotels; and natural gas letdown stations, as well as to customers who use renewable biogas for fuel, including municipal water treatment facilities, br eweries, and food processors. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Danbury, Connecticut.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Roberto Pedone]

     Fuelcell Energy (FCEL) designs, manufactures, sells, installs and services ultra-clean, highly efficient stationary fuel cell power plants for distributed baseload power generation. This stock is trading up 7.2% to $1.01 in recent trading.

    Today’s Range: $0.94-$1.01

    52-Week Range: $0.83-$1.95

    Volume: 1.27 million

    Three-Month Average Volume: 1.04 million

    From a technical perspective, FCEL is ripping higher here right above its 50-day moving average of 92 cents per share with above-average volume. This move is quickly pushing shares of FCEL within range of triggering a near-term breakout trade. That trade will hit if FCEL manages to take out its 200-day moving average at $1.05 and then once it takes out more overhead resistance at $1.06 with high volume.

    Traders should now look for long-biased trades in FCEL as long as it’s trending above its 50-day at 92 cents per share, and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 1.04 million shares. If that breakout hits soon, then FCEL will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance level at $1.18. Any high-volume move above $1.18 will then put $1.39 into range for shares of FCEL.

  • [By SmallCap Investor]

    The developer of stationary fuel cells used by commercial and government customers might be headed for a rebound from a pullback that began this spring - which has left the stock down 39 percent year-to-date.

Top 5 Cheap Stocks To Buy For 2014: KongZhong Corporation(KONG)

KongZhong Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides wireless interactive entertainment, media, and community services to mobile phone users in the People's Republic of China. It also involves in the development, distribution, and marketing of consumer wireless value-added services, including wireless application protocol, multimedia messaging services, short messaging services, interactive voice response services, and color ring back tones. In addition, it offers interactive entertainment services, such as mobile games, pictures, karaoke, electronic books, mobile phone personalization features, entertainment news, chat, and message boards; and through Kong.net offer news, community services, games, and other interactive media and entertainment services; and sells advertising space in the form of text-link, banner, and button advertisements. Further, the company develops and publishes mobile games, including downloadable mobile games and online mobile games cons isting of action, role-playing, and leisure games. As of December 31, 2009, it had a library of approximately 300 internally developed mobile games. Additionally, it develops online games; and provides consulting and technology services, as well as media and net book services. The company was formerly known as Communication Over The Air Inc. and changed its name to KongZhong Corporation in March 2004. KongZhong Corporation was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People?s Republic of China

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Wyatt Research Staff]

    As a Chinese ADR, KONG is the leading provider of 2.5G wireless interactive entertainment, media and community services in terms of revenue to customers of company China Mobile. Institutions snatched up shares at an alarming rate with an increase of 26.7% in institutional ownership over the past three months.

    A consensus of analysts expect earnings to increase by 16.9% in 2011 and 19.6% in 2012. Company earnings are estimated to increase by 62.1% this year.

Best Small Cap Companies To Own For 2014: ATA Inc.(ATAI)

ATA Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides computer-based testing services in the People?s Republic of China. It offers services for the creation and delivery of computer-based tests utilizing its test delivery platform, proprietary testing technologies, and testing services; and provides logistical support services relating to test administration. The company?s computer-based testing services are used for professional licensure and certification tests in various industries, including information technology (IT) services, banking, securities, teaching, and insurance. Its e-testing platform integrates various aspects of the test delivery process for computer-based tests ranging from test form compilation to test scoring, and results analysis. ATA also provides career-oriented educational services, such as single course programs, degree major course programs, and pre-occupational training programs focusing on preparing students to pass IT and other vocational certification tests; test preparation and training programs and services to test candidates preparing to take professional certification tests in securities, futures, banking, insurance and teaching industries; online test preparation and training platform for the securities and banking industries; and test preparation software for the teaching industry. In addition, the company offers HR select employee assessment solution, an online system that utilizes its proprietary software and an inventory of test titles to help employers improve the efficiency and accuracy of their employee recruitment process. As of March 31, 2010, it had contractual relationships with 1,988 ATA authorized test centers. The company serves Chinese governmental agencies, professional associations, IT vendors, and Chinese educational institutions, as well as individual test preparation services. ATA Inc. was founded in 1999 and is based in Beijing, the People?s Republic of China.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Wyatt Research Staff]

    The Chinese-based educator spiked higher recently after it exceeded analysts' expectations. Revenue and adjusted earnings soared 78% and 269%, respectively. Its long-term annual growth rate is 15%.

    Analysts at Zacks Investment Research upgraded shares from "neutral" to "outperform". 

Best Small Cap Companies To Own For 2014: InterDigital Inc.(IDCC)

Interdigital, Inc. engages in the design and development of digital wireless technology solutions. The company offers technology solutions for use in digital cellular and wireless products and networks, including 2G, 3G, 4G, and IEEE 802-related products and networks. It holds patents related to the fundamental technologies that enable wireless communications. The company licenses its patents to equipment producers that manufacture, use, and sell digital cellular and IEEE 802-related products; and licenses or sells mobile broadband modem solutions, including modem IP, know-how, and reference platforms to mobile device manufacturers, semiconductor companies, and other equipment producers that manufacture, use, and sell digital cellular products. InterDigital?s solutions are incorporated in various products comprising mobile devices, such as cellular phones, tablets, notebook computers, and wireless personal digital assistants; wireless infrastructure equipment, such as base stations; and components, dongles, and modules for wireless devices. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in King of Prussia, Pennsylvania.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By SmallCap Investor]

    The wireless technology company said it's exploring its options, including a possible sale, following last month's successful auction of Nortel Networks intellectual property which brought in $4.5 billion. IDCC owns about 1,300 patents related to mobile phone technology.

Best Small Cap Companies To Own For 2014: Panera Bread Company(PNRA)

Panera Bread Company, together with its subsidiaries, owns, operates, and franchises retail bakery-cafes in the United States and Canada. Its bakery-cafes offer fresh baked goods, sandwiches, soups, salads, custom roasted coffees, and other complementary products, as well as provide catering services. The company also manufactures and supplies dough and other products to company-owned and franchise-operated bakery-cafes. As of March 29, 2011, it owned and franchised 1,467 bakery-cafes under the Panera Bread, Saint Louis Bread Co., and Paradise Bakery & Cafe names. The company was founded in 1981 and is based in St. Louis, Missouri.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Roberto Pedone]

    One casual dining player that insiders are active in here is Panera Bread (PNRA), which is a national bakery-cafe concept with 1,652 company-owned and franchise-operated bakery-cafe locations in 44 states, the District of Columbia and Ontario, Canada. Insiders are buying this stock into modest strength, since shares are up 5.2% so far in 2013.

    Panera Bread has a market cap of $4.8 billion and an enterprise value of $4.5 billion. This stock trades at a reasonable valuation, with a trailing price-to-earnings of 26.28 and a forward price-to-earnings of 21.32. Its estimated growth rate for this year is 15.8%, and for next year it's pegged at 15.1%. This is a cash-rich company, since the total cash position on its balance sheet is $341.06 million and its total debt is zero.

    The CFO just bought 1,500 shares, or about $252,000 worth of stock, at $168.58 per share.

    From a technical perspective, PNRA is currently trending below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which is bearish. This stock recently gapped down big from $187.50 to its low of $165.55 a share with heavy downside volume. That move has now pushed shares of PNRA into oversold territory, since its current relative strength index reading is 25.59. Oversold can always get more oversold, but it's also an area where a stock can experience a powerful rebound higher from.

    If you're bullish on PNRA, then look for long-biased trades as long as this stock is trending above some key near-term support at $165.55, and then once it breaks out above some near-term overhead resistance levels at its 200-day of $171.33 a share to more resistance at $172.50 a share with high volume. Look for a sustained move or close above those levels with volume that hits near or above its three-month average volume of 439,019 shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then PNRA will set up to re-fill some of its previous gap down zone that started at $187.50 a share. Some possible upside targets if PNRA gets into that gap with volume are $175 to $180 a share.

  • [By Fabian]  

    Most of you have probably eaten at one of these franchise bakery-cafes. If not I highly recommend it, as for the company itself they are exceptional. Profit soared 50% in the first quarter, operating margins rose several percentage points, and Panera is sitting on $300+ million of cash. Right now it’s at a 30% discount to its peer averages and the stock is very cheap when valued against future earnings. Strong buy expect it to rise to $105.

Sunday, August 25, 2013

Pay Attention to this Software Company

Even though Champion Shares PRO analyst Mark Rogers from The Motley Fool UK usually doesn't get too excited when it comes to software companies, today he's taking a closer look at this one.

I'm not exactly known for my enthusiasm when it comes to investing in software businesses.

Don't get me wrong—economically, the software industry has a number of attractive advantages. Returns on shareholder capital can be enormous—the company's earning power comes from its proprietary code, rather than heavy, depreciating machinery or demanding shareholder investments.

But like any fast-moving industry, staying on top of a market position in high technology can be like trying to capture lightning in a bottle. And as we know, lightning rarely strikes in the same place twice.

So it might be a surprise that I'm looking at Sage (LSS:SGE) today, which primarily develops business and accounting software for small-to-medium sized companies. There are three things I particularly like about Sage.

Firstly, unlike many other software companies, I think Sage could enjoy a long-lasting durability in its market. I get the impression that Sage is particularly well embedded within the firms who use their software. Generally, once companies start using Sage's software, I suspect they become reluctant to switch to another system they're less familiar with. This kind of stickiness provides an attractive recurring source of revenue from subscribers, and keeps the cash rolling in.

Secondly, the company's record of growing its earnings, dividends and cash flow over time is remarkable. Sage's performance has slipped in the last few years, but I think this can be forgiven, considering how small European businesses have struggled in recent years. Sage's customer base has grown from four million to six million since 2003, and in my view, we could see further growth in the next decade too. This track record, perhaps, suggests that other firms have struggled to muscle in on Sage's market position to date.

Finally, I think the current valuation is a fair—if not spectacularly cheap. Sage's shares trade at roughly 16 times normalized earnings, or 15 times last year's free cash flow. I feel that a 6-7% earnings yield is acceptable, assuming Sage can grow its profits modestly in the coming years.

Of course, no potential investment is without risks—the valuation isn't exceptionally cheap, and as ever in the software industry, there's a constant threat of competition and upheaval. But on a balance of the facts, I think Sage is a company worth taking a closer look at.

Mark does not own any share mentioned in this article.

Read more from The Motley Fool UK here...

California Republic Bancorp Reports Q2 2013 Record Assets of $737 Million with Record Net Interest Margin of 6.41% and Net Income of $2.8 Million (OTCMKTS:CRPB, OTCMKTS:EQLB)

crpb

California Republic Bancorp (CRPB)

Today, CRPB remains (0.00%) +0.000 at $19.00 thus far (ref. google finance Delayed:   11:35AM EDT July 29, 2013).

California Republic Bancorp previously reported its results for the second-quarter 2013, reporting quarterly net income of $2.8 million, record net interest margin of 6.41%, record assets of $737.1 million and record deposits of $669.7 million.

CEO Jon Wilcox stated, "In the second-quarter we not only experienced strong deposit and loan growth, but also continued to invest in our people and infrastructure both in California as well as nationally, while increasing our bottom line and maintaining solid credit quality."

California Republic Bancorp (CRPB) 5 day chart:

crpbchart

eqlb

EQ Labs, Inc. (EQLB)

Today, EQ Labs, Inc. (OTCMKTS:EQLB) (www.drinkeq.com) has surged (+23.08%) up +0.0015 at $.0080 with 112,500 shares in play thus far (ref. google finance Delayed: 12:42PM EDT July 29, 2013). Now at the current price of $.0080, EQLB would be considered to have experienced a (+1233.33%) gain if compared to the 52 week low of $.0006.

EQ Labs, Inc. manufactures and markets energy drink products in the United States and Latin America. The company offers EQ Smart Energy Drink, in an effervescent tablet form that provides an instant energy drink once added to a beverage of choice. EQ Labs, Inc. distributes its products through national and regional distributors.

eqlbpictorial1

To view EQ Labs, Inc. video click link http://crwetube.com/media/eq-labs-has-entered-into-a-signed-agreement-with-l.

EQ Labs, Inc. (EQLB) 5d chart:

eqlbchart

Friday, August 23, 2013

Top Insurance Companies To Buy For 2014

For MetLife (NYSE: MET  ) , the financial crisis was the ultimate exercise in risk management, as just about every possible thing that could go wrong for the industry did go wrong. Yet in the years since the crisis, Metlife stock has recovered much of its losses from the financial crisis, and the company appears poised to continue its recovery efforts well into the future. Let's take a look at what hit MetLife stock so hard and how the insurance giant bounced back.

The importance of insurance
When the financial crisis hit, banking stocks got the bulk of attention from investors and the general public, as the direct impact of the crisis on their core operations was a lot clearer. AIG (NYSE: AIG  ) was the primary exception, as its systemically important role as a derivatives counterparty brought the financial system to the brink of collapse and necessitated the biggest government bailout of any company receiving assistance. Yet for the most part, the bad loans on banks' balance sheets marked the epicenter of the financial crisis.

Top Insurance Companies To Buy For 2014: American International Group Inc.(AIG)

American International Group, Inc. is an international insurance organization. The company operates property and casualty insurance networks worldwide and conducts activities in the U.S. life insurance and retirement services industry. It also involves in commercial aircraft leasing and residential mortgage guaranty insurance businesses. The company, through Chartis Inc., provides various property and casualty insurance products under commercial and consumer categories worldwide. These products include surplus lines, executive liability/directors? and officers? liability, employment practices, excess casualty, and travel/assistance lines. American International Group, through SunAmerica Financial Group, offers a suite of life insurance and retirement products and services, including term life, universal life, accident and health, fixed and variable deferred annuities, fixed payout annuities, mutual funds, and financial planning products and services to individuals and grou ps in the United States. The company, through International Lease Finance Corporation, operates as an aircraft lessor that acquires commercial jet aircraft from various manufacturers and other parties, and leases those aircraft to airlines worldwide. It also sells aircraft from its fleet to other leasing companies, financial services companies, and airlines, as well as provides management services to third-party owners of aircraft portfolios. American International Group, through United Guaranty Corporation, issues residential mortgage guaranty insurance that covers mortgage lenders from the first loss for credit defaults on high loan-to-value conventional first-lien mortgages for the purchase or refinance of one- to four-family residences in the U.S. and internationally. The company was founded in 1967 and is based in New York, New York.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By James K. Glassman]

    When American International Group (symbol: AIG) announced strong third-quarter results, CEO Robert Benmosche said the insurer might not buy back any more AIG shares held by the U.S., as it had earlier said it might. The stock sank on the news, but investors missed the bigger picture. AIG trades at about 50% of its book value of $69 per share, while its peers typically trade at about book value. AIG could eventually earn $6 per share and trade at, or close to, its rising book value.

Top Insurance Companies To Buy For 2014: Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd (FRFHF)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (Fairfax) is a financial services holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, is principally engaged in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance and the associated investment management. The Company�� segments consist of Insurance, Reinsurance, Insurance and Reinsurance Other, Runoff, and Corporate and Other. On December 22, 2011, the Company completed the acquisition of 75% interests in Sporting Life Inc. On August 16, 2011, the Company acquired William Ashley China Corporation. On March 24, 2011, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Fairfax completed the acquisition of The Pacific Insurance Berhad. On February 9, 2011, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Fairfax completed the acquisition of First Mercury Financial Corporation. In October 2012, its RiverStone runoff subsidiary acquired all the outstanding shares of Brit Insurance Limited.

Best Heal Care Companies For 2014: Berkshire Hathaway Inc (BRK.B)

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (Berkshire) is a holding company owning subsidiaries engaged in a number of diverse business activities. The Company is engaged in insurance businesses conducted on both a primary basis and a reinsurance basis. Berkshire also owns and operates a number of other businesses engaged in a variety of activities. On December 30, 2011, Medical Protective Corporation (MedPro) completed the acquisition of 100% of the Princeton Insurance Company, a professional liability insurer for healthcare providers based in Princeton, New Jersey. During the year ended December 31, 2011, Acme Building Brands (Acme) acquired the assets of Jenkins Brick Company, the brick manufacturer in Alabama. In September 2011, Berkshire acquired The Lubrizol Corporation (Lubrizol). In June 2011, the Company acquired Wesco Financial Corporation. In June 2012, Media General, Inc. sold 63 daily and weekly newspapers to World Media Enterprises, Inc., a subsidiary of Berkshire. In July 2012, Berkshire�� The Lubrizol Corporation acquired Lipotec SA.

Insurance and Reinsurance Businesses

Berkshire�� insurance and reinsurance business activities are conducted through numerous domestic and foreign-based insurance entities. Berkshire�� insurance businesses provide insurance and reinsurance of property and casualty risks world-wide and also reinsure life, accident and health risks world-wide. Berkshire�� insurance underwriting operations are consisted of the sub-groups, including GEICO and its subsidiaries, General Re and its subsidiaries, Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group and Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group. GEICO insurance subsidiaries include Government Employees Insurance Company, GEICO General Insurance Company, GEICO Indemnity Company and GEICO Casualty Company. These companies primarily offers private passenger automobile insurance to individuals in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. In addition, GEICO insures motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles, recreational vehicles and s! mall commercial fleets and acts as an agent for other insurers who offer homeowners, boat and life insurance to individuals. GEICO markets its policies primarily through direct response methods in which applications for insurance are submitted directly to the companies through the Internet or by telephone.

General Re Corporation (General Re) is the holding company of General Reinsurance Corporation (GRC) and its subsidiaries and affiliates. GRC�� subsidiaries include General Reinsurance AG, a international reinsurer based in Germany. General Re subsidiaries conduct business activities globally in 51 cities and provide insurance and reinsurance coverages throughout the world. General Re provides property/casualty insurance and reinsurance, life/health reinsurance and other reinsurance intermediary and risk management, underwriting management and investment management services.

Property/Casualty Reinsurance

General Re�� property/casualty reinsurance business in North America is conducted through GRC. Property/casualty operations in North America are also conducted through 16 branch offices in the United States and Canada. Reinsurance activities are marketed directly to clients without involving a broker or intermediary. General Re�� property/casualty business in North America also includes specialty insurers (primarily the General Star and Genesis companies domiciled in Connecticut and Ohio). These specialty insurers underwrite primarily liability and workers��compensation coverages on an excess and surplus basis and excess insurance for self-insured programs. General Re�� international property/casualty reinsurance business operations are conducted through internationally-based subsidiaries on a direct basis (through General Reinsurance AG, as well as several other General Re subsidiaries in 25 countries) and through brokers (primarily through Faraday, which owns the managing agent of Syndicate 435 at Lloyd�� of London and provides capacity and particip! ates in 1! 00% of the results of Syndicate 435).

Life/Health Reinsurance

General Re�� North American and international life, health, long-term care and disability reinsurance coverages are written on an individual and group basis. Most of this business is written on a proportional treaty basis, with the exception of the United States group health and disability business which is predominately written on an excess treaty basis. Lesser amounts of life and disability business are written on a facultative basis. The life/health business is marketed on a direct basis. The Berkshire Hathaway Reinsurance Group (BHRG) operates from offices located in Stamford, Connecticut. Business activities are conducted through a group of subsidiary companies, led by National Indemnity Company (NICO) and Columbia Insurance Company (Columbia). BHRG provides principally excess and quota-share reinsurance to other property and casualty insurers and reinsurers. BHRG�� underwriting activities also include life reinsurance and life annuity business written through Berkshire Hathaway Life Insurance Company of Nebraska and financial guaranty insurance written through Berkshire Hathaway Assurance Corporation.

BHRG writes catastrophe excess-of-loss treaty reinsurance contracts. BHRG also writes individual policies for primarily large or otherwise unusual discrete risks on both an excess direct and facultative reinsurance basis, referred to as individual risk, which includes policies covering terrorism, natural catastrophe and aviation risks. A catastrophe excess policy provides protection to the counterparty from the accumulation of primarily property losses arising from a single loss event or series of related events. Catastrophe and individual risk policies may provide amounts of indemnification per contract and a single loss event may produce losses under a number of contracts. BHRG also underwrites traditional non-catastrophe insurance and reinsurance coverages, referred to as multi-line property/c! asualty b! usiness.

The Berkshire Hathaway Primary Group is a collection of primary insurance operations that provide a variety of insurance coverages to insureds located principally in the United States. NICO and certain affiliates underwrite motor vehicle and general liability insurance to commercial enterprises on both an admitted and excess and surplus basis. This business is written nationwide primarily through insurance agents and brokers and is based in Omaha, Nebraska. U.S. Investment Corporation (USIC), through its three subsidiaries led by United States Liability Insurance Company, is a specialty insurer that underwrites commercial, professional and personal lines of insurance on an admitted and excess and surplus basis. Policies are marketed in all 50 states and the District of Columbia through wholesale and retail insurance agents. USIC companies underwrite and market 109 distinct specialty property and casualty insurance products. Medical Protective Corporation (MedPro) is based in Fort Wayne, Indiana. Through its subsidiary, the Medical Protective Company, MedPro is engaged in primary medical professional liability coverage and risk solutions to physicians, dentists, other healthcare providers and healthcare facilities.

Railroad Business

Through BNSF Railway, BNSF operates a railroad network in North America with approximately 32,000 route miles of track (excluding multiple main tracks, yard tracks and sidings) in 28 states and two Canadian provinces as of December 31, 2011. BNSF owns approximately 23,000 route miles, including easements, and operates on approximately 9,000 route miles of trackage rights that permit BNSF to operate its trains with its crews over other railroads��tracks. As of December 31, 2011, the total BNSF Railway system, including single and multiple main tracks, yard tracks and sidings, consisted of approximately 50,000 operated miles of track, all of which are owned by or held under easement by BNSF except for approximately 10,000 route! miles op! erated under trackage rights.

BNSF is based in Fort Worth, Texas, and through BNSF Railway Company operates railroad systems in North America. In serving the Midwest, Pacific Northwest, Western, Southwestern and Southeastern regions and ports of the country, BNSF transports a range of products and commodities derived from manufacturing, agricultural and natural resource industries. In serving the Midwest, Pacific Northwest, Western, Southwestern and Southeastern regions and ports of the country, BNSF transports a range of products and commodities derived from manufacturing, agricultural and natural resource industries. Over half of the freight revenues of BNSF are covered by contractual agreements of varying durations. BNSF�� primary routes, including trackage rights, allow it to access cities and ports in the western and southern United States as well as parts of Canada and Mexico. In addition to cities and ports, BNSF efficiently serves many smaller markets by working closely with approximately 200 shortline partners. BNSF has also entered into marketing agreements with other rail carriers, expanding the marketing reach for each railroad and their customers.

Utilities and Energy Businesses

MidAmerican�� businesses are managed as separate operating units. MidAmerican�� domestic regulated energy interests are comprised of two regulated utility companies serving more than three million retail customers and two interstate natural gas pipeline companies with approximately 16,600 miles of pipeline and a design capacity of approximately 7.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. Its United Kingdom electricity distribution subsidiaries serve about 3.9 million electricity end-users. In addition, MidAmerican�� interests include a diversified portfolio of domestic independent power projects, a hydroelectric facility in the Philippines and residential real estate brokerage firm in the United States.

PacifiCorp is a regulated electric utility compa! ny headqu! artered in Oregon, serving regulated retail electric customers in portions of Utah, Oregon, Wyoming, Washington, Idaho and California. The combined service territory�� diverse regional economy ranges from rural, agricultural and mining areas to urban, manufacturing and government service centers. As a vertically integrated electric utility, PacifiCorp owns approximately 10,600 net megawatts of generation capacity. MidAmerican Energy Company (MEC) is a regulated electric and natural gas utility company headquartered in Iowa, serving regulated retail electric and natural gas customers primarily in Iowa and also in portions of Illinois, South Dakota and Nebraska. MEC has a diverse customer base consisting of residential, agricultural and a variety of commercial and industrial customer groups. In addition to retail sales and natural gas transportation, MEC sells regulated electricity to markets operated by regional transmission organizations and regulated electricity and natural gas to other utilities and market participants on a wholesale basis and sells non-regulated electricity and natural gas services in deregulated markets. As a vertically integrated electric and gas utility, MEC owns approximately 7,000 net megawatts of generation capacity.

The natural gas pipelines consist of Northern Natural Gas Company (Northern Natural) and Kern River Gas Transmission Company (Kern River). Northern Natural is based in Nebraska and owns interstate natural gas pipeline systems in the United States reaching from southern Texas to Michigan�� Upper Peninsula. Northern Natural�� pipeline system consists of approximately 14,900 miles of natural gas pipelines. Northern Natural has access to supplies from mid-continent basin and provides transportation services to utilities and numerous other customers. Northern Natural also operates three underground natural gas storage facilities and two liquefied natural gas storage peaking units.

Kern River is based in Utah and owns an interstate natural! gas pipe! line system that consists of approximately 1,700 miles and extends from the supply areas in the Rocky Mountains to consuming markets in Utah, Nevada and California. Kern River transports natural gas for electric utilities and natural gas distribution utilities, oil and natural gas companies or affiliates of such companies, electricity generating companies, energy marketing and trading companies, and financial institutions. The United Kingdom utilities consist of Northern Powergrid (Northeast) Limited (Northern Powergrid (Northeast)) and Northern Powergrid (Yorkshire) plc (Northern Powergrid (Yorkshire)), which own a substantial United Kingdom electricity distribution network that delivers electricity to end-users in northeast England in an area covering approximately 10,000 square miles. The distribution companies primarily charge supply companies regulated tariffs for the use of electrical infrastructure. MidAmerican also owns HomeServices of America, Inc. (HomeServices), a full-service residential real estate brokerage firm in the United States. HomeServices also offers integrated real estate services, including mortgage originations through a joint venture, title and closing services, property and casualty insurance, home warranties, relocation services and other home-related services. It operates under 22 residential real estate brand names with over 14,000 sales associates and in nearly 300 brokerage offices in 20 states.

Manufacturing, Service and Retailing Businesses

Berkshire�� numerous and diverse manufacturing, service and retailing businesses. Marmon consists of approximately 140 manufacturing and service businesses that operate independently within eleven diverse, stand-alone business sectors. These sectors are Building Wire, Crane Services, Distribution Services, Engineered Wire and Cable, Flow Products, Food Service Equipment, Highway Technologies, Industrial Products, Retail Store Fixtures, Transportation Services and Engineered Products and Water Treatment.

!

Building Wire, providing copper electrical building wire for residential, commercial and industrial construction. Crane Services provides the leasing and operation of mobile cranes primarily to the energy, mining and petrochemical markets. Distribution Services, supplying specialty metal pipe and tubing, bar and sheet products to markets including construction, industrial, aerospace and many others. Engineered Wire & Cable, providing electrical and electronic wire and cable for energy related markets and other industries. Flow Products is producing copper tube for the plumbing, heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC), refrigeration, and industrial markets. Food Service Equipment is supplying commercial food preparation equipment for restaurants and shopping carts for retail stores. Highway Technologies, primarily serving the heavy-duty highway transportation industry with trailers, fifth wheel coupling devices and undercarriage products such as brake parts and suspension systems, and also serving the light vehicle aftermarket with clutches and related products.

Industrial Products, consisting of metal fasteners for the building, furniture, cabinetry, industrial and other markets, gloves for industrial markets, portable lighting equipment for mining and safety markets, overhead electrification equipment for mass transit systems, custom-machined brass, aluminum and copper forgings for the construction, valve and other industries, brass fittings and valves for commercial and industrial applications, and drawn aluminum tubing and extruded aluminum shapes for the construction, automotive, appliance, medical and other markets . Retail Store Fixtures, providing shelving and other merchandising displays and related services for retail stores worldwide. Transportation Services & Engineered Products, including manufacturing, leasing and maintenance of railroad tank cars, leasing of intermodal tank containers, in-plant rail services, manufacturing of bi-modal railcar movers, wheel, axle ! and gear ! sets for light rail transit and gear products for locomotives, manufacturing of steel tank heads, and services, equipment and technology for processing and distributing sulfur. Water Treatment, equipment including residential water softening, purification and refrigeration filtration systems, treatment systems for industrial markets including power generation, oil and gas, chemical, and pulp and paper, gear drives for irrigation systems and cooling towers, and air-cooled heat exchangers. Marmon operates approximately 300 manufacturing, distribution and service facilities that are primarily located in North America, Europe and China, and employs more than 16,000 people worldwide.

McLane Company, Inc. (McLane) provides wholesale distribution and logistics services in all 50 states and internationally in Brazil to customers that include discount retailers, convenience stores, wholesale clubs, quick service restaurants, drug stores and military bases. Operations are divided into five business units: grocery distribution, foodservice distribution, beverage distribution, international logistics and software development. McLane�� foodservice distribution unit, based in Carrollton, Texas, focuses on serving the quick service restaurant industry. Operations are conducted through 18 facilities in 16 states. The foodservice distribution unit services more than 20,000 chain restaurants nationwide.

Other Manufacturing, Other Service and Retailing Businesses

Berkshire�� apparel manufacturing businesses include manufacturers of a variety of clothing and footwear. Businesses engaged in the manufacture and distribution of clothing products include Fruit of the Loom, Inc. (Fruit), Russell Brands, LLC (Russell), Vanity Fair Brands, LP (VFB), Garan and Fechheimer Brothers. Berkshire�� footwear businesses include H.H. Brown Shoe Group, Justin Brands and Brooks Athletic. Fruit, Russell and VFB (together FOL) is primarily a vertically integrated manufacturer and distributor of ba! sic appar! el, underwear and athletic apparel and products. Products, under the Fruit of the Loomand JERZEES labels are primarily sold in the mass merchandise and wholesale markets. In the VFB product line, Vassarette, Bestformand Curvationare sold in the mass merchandise market, while Vanity Fairand Lily of Franceproducts are sold in the mid-tier chains and department stores. FOL also markets and sells athletic uniforms, apparel, sports equipment and balls to team dealers; college licensed tee shirts and fleecewear to college bookstores and mid-tier merchants; and athletic apparel, sports equipment and balls to sporting goods retailers under the Russell Athleticand Spaldingbrands. Additionally, Spaldingmarkets and sells balls in the mass merchandise market and dollar store channel. During the year ended December, 31, 2011, approximately 30% of FOL�� sales were to Wal-Mart. FOL generally performs its own spinning, knitting, cloth finishing, cutting, sewing and packaging.

Garan designs, manufactures, imports and sells apparel primarily for children, including boys, girls, toddlers and infants. Products are sold under its own trademark Garanimalsand private labels of its customers. Garan also licenses its registered trademark Garanimalsto independent third parties. Garan conducts its business through operating subsidiaries located in the United States, Central America and Asia. Substantially all of Garan�� products are sold through its distribution centers in the United States to national chain stores, department stores and specialty stores. In 2011, over 90% of Garan�� sales were to Wal-Mart. Fechheimer Brothers manufactures, distributes and sells uniforms, principally for the public service and safety markets, including police, fire, postal and military markets. Fechheimer Brothers is based in Cincinnati, Ohio.

Justin Brands and H.H. Brown Shoe Group manufacture and distribute work, rugged outdoor and casual shoes and western-style footwear under a number of brand names, including! Justin, ! Tony Lama, Nocona, Chippewas, Born, Sofft, Carolina, Double-H Boots, Corcoran, Matterhornand Kork-Ease. Brooks Athletic markets and sells running footwear to specialty retailers under Brooksbrand. In 2011, Brooksachieved #1 market share in footwear with specialty retailers. A volume of the shoes sold by Berkshire�� shoe businesses are manufactured or purchased from sources outside the United States. Products are principally sold in the United States through a variety of channels including department stores, footwear chains, specialty stores, catalogs and the Internet, as well as through Company-owned retail stores.

Acme manufactures and distributes clay bricks (Acme Brickand Jenkins Brick), concrete block (Featherlite) and cut limestone (Texas Quarries). In addition, Acme distributes a number of other building products of other manufacturers, including glass block, floor and wall tile and other masonry products. Acme also sells ceramic floor and wall tile, as well as marble, granite and other stones through its subsidiary, American Tile and Stone. Products are sold primarily in the South Central and South Eastern United States through Company-operated sales offices. Acme distributes products primarily to homebuilders and masonry and general contractors.

Benjamin Moore & Co. (Benjamin Moore) is a formulator, manufacturer and retailer of a range of architectural coatings, available principally in the United States and Canada. Products include water-thinnable and solvent-thinnable general purpose coatings (paints, stains and clear finishes) for use by the general public, contractors and industrial and commercial users. Products are marketed under various registered brand names, including Regal, Superspec, Moorcraft, Moorgard, Aura, Nattura, ben, Coronado Paint, Insl-xand Lenmar.

Benjamin Moore and its manufacturing subsidiaries rely primarily on an independent dealer network for the distribution of its products. Its distribution network includes approximately 100! Company-! owned stores as well as over 4,500 third party retailers representing over 10,300 storefronts in the United States and Canada. Benjamin Moore�� Company-owned stores represent several multiple-outlet and stand-alone retailers in various parts of the United States and Canada serving primarily contractors and general consumers. The independent retailer channel offers an array of products including Benjamin Mooreand Insl-xbrands and other competitor coatings, wallcoverings, window treatments and sundries. Benjamin Moore also has three color stations located in regional malls that serve as brand marketing tools. In addition to the independent retailer channel, Benjamin Moore has recently begun to sell direct to the consumer through e-commerce sites and its customer care program, which includes national accounts and government agencies.

Johns Manville (JM) is a manufacturer and marketer of products for building insulation, mechanical insulation, commercial roofing and roof insulation, as well as fibers and nonwovens for commercial, industrial and residential applications. JM serves markets that include aerospace, automotive and transportation, air handling, appliance, HVAC, pipe and equipment filtration, waterproofing, building, flooring, interiors and wind energy. Fiber glass is the basic material in a majority of JM�� products, although JM also manufactures a portion of its products with other materials to satisfy the broader needs of its customers. JM regards its patents and licenses as valuable, however it does not consider any of its businesses to be materially dependent on any single patent or license. JM is headquartered in Denver, Colorado, and operates 40 manufacturing facilities in North America, Europe and China and conducts research and development at several other facilities. JM sells its products through a variety of channels, including contractors, distributors, retailers, manufacturers and fabricators.

MiTek is a provider of engineered connector products, engine! ering sof! tware and services and computer-driven manufacturing machinery to the truss fabrication segment of the building components industry. Primary customers are truss fabricators who manufacture pre-fabricated roof and floor trusses and wall panels for the residential building market, as well as the light commercial and institutional construction industry. MiTek also participates in the light gauge steel framing market under the Ultra-Spanname, manufactures and markets assembly line machinery used by the lead acid battery industry, manufactures and markets a line of masonry connector products and manufactures and markets air handling systems used in commercial building. MiTek operates on six continents with sales into approximately 90 countries. MiTek has 34 manufacturing facilities located in eleven countries and 45 sales/engineering offices located in 17 countries.

The Shaw Industries Group, Inc. (Shaw) is a carpet manufacturer based on both revenue and volume of production. Shaw designs and manufactures over 3,000 styles of tufted carpet, tufted and woven rugs, laminate and wood flooring for residential and commercial use under about 30 brand and trade names and under certain private labels. Shaw also provides installation services and sells ceramic and vinyl tile along with sheet vinyl. Shaw�� manufacturing operations are fully integrated from the processing of raw materials used to make fiber through the finishing of carpet. Shaw�� carpet, rugs and hard surface products are sold in a broad range of prices, patterns, colors and textures.

Shaw products are sold wholesale to over 40,000 retailers, distributors and commercial users throughout the United States, Canada and Mexico and are also exported to various overseas markets. Shaw�� wholesale products are marketed domestically by over 2,000 salaried and commissioned sales personnel directly to retailers and distributors and to national accounts. Shaw�� 10 carpet full-service distribution facilities, three hard surface an! d two rug! full-service distribution facilities and 24 redistribution centers, along with centralized management information systems, enable it to provide prompt efficient delivery of its products to both its retail customers and wholesale distributors.

Berkshire acquired an 80% interest in IMC International Metalworking Companies B.V. (IMC B.V.). Through its subsidiaries, IMC B.V. is a multinational manufacturers of consumable precision carbide metal cutting tools for applications in a range of industrial end markets under the brand names ISCAR, TaeguTec, Ingersoll, Tungaloy, Unitac, UOP It.te.diand Outiltec. IMC B.V.�� manufacturing facilities are located in Israel, United States, Germany, Italy, France, Switzerland, South Korea, China, India, Japan and Brazil. IMC B.V. has five primary product lines: milling tools, gripping tools, turning/thread tools, drilling tools and tooling. Forest River, Inc. (Forest River) is a manufacturer of recreational vehicles, utility, cargo and office trailers, buses and pontoon boats, headquartered in Elkhart, Indiana. Its products are sold in the United States and Canada through an independent dealer network.

Scott Fetzer companies are a diversified group of 20 businesses that manufacture and distribute a variety of products for residential, industrial and institutional use. The two of these businesses are Kirby home cleaning systems and Campbell Hausfeld products. Albecca Inc. (Albecca), headquartered in Norcross, Georgia, does business primarily under the Larson-Juhlname. Albecca designs, manufactures and distributes a complete line of branded custom framing products, including wood and metal moulding, matboard, foamboard, glass, equipment and other framing supplies in the United States, Canada and 15 countries outside of North America. CTB International Corp. is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of systems used in the grain industry and in the production of poultry, hogs and eggs.

Lubrizol is a specialty chemical company that pro! duces and! supplies technologies for the global transportation, industrial and consumer markets. Lubrizol operates two business sectors: Lubrizol Additives, which includes engine, driveline and industrial additive products and Lubrizol Advanced Materials, which includes personal and home care, engineered polymer and performance coating products. FlightSafety International Inc.(FlightSafety) is engaged primarily in the business of providing high technology training to operators of aircraft. FlightSafety�� training activities include advanced training for pilots of business and commercial aircraft; aircrew training for military and other government personnel; aircraft maintenance technician training; flight attendant and aircraft dispatcher training, and ab-initio (primary) pilot training to qualify individuals for private and commercial pilots��licenses. FlightSafety also develops classroom instructional systems and materials for use in its training business and for sale to others.

NetJets Inc. (NJ) is a provider of fractional ownership programs for general aviation aircraft. TTI, Inc. (TTI) is a global specialty distributor of passive, interconnect, electromechanical and discrete components used by customers in the manufacturing and assembling of electronic products. Business Wire provides electronic dissemination of full-text news releases daily to the media, online services and databases and the global investment community in 150 countries and 45 languages. Berkshire�� retailing businesses principally consist of several independently managed home furnishings and jewelry operations. The home furnishings businesses are the Nebraska Furniture Mart (NFM), R.C. Willey Home Furnishings (R.C. Willey), Star Furniture Company (Star) and Jordan�� Furniture, Inc. (Jordan��). NFM, R.C. Willey, Star and Jordan�� each offer a wide selection of furniture, bedding and accessories. In addition, NFM and R.C. Willey sell a line of household appliances, electronics, computers and other home furnishings. N! FM, R.C. ! Willey, Star and Jordan�� also offer customer financing to complement their retail operations. An important feature of each of these businesses is their ability to control costs and to produce high business volume by offering value to their customers.

NFM operates its business from two retail complexes with almost one million square feet of retail space and sizable warehouse and administrative facilities in Omaha, Nebraska and Kansas City, Kansas. NFM is a furniture retailer in each of its markets. NFM also owns Homemakers Furniture located in Des Moines, Iowa, which has approximately 215,000 square feet of retail space. R.C. Willey, based in Salt Lake City, Utah, is a home furnishings retailer in the Intermountain West region of the United States. R.C. Willey operates 11 retail stores, two retail clearance facilities and three distribution centers. Borsheim Jewelry Company, Inc. (Borsheims) operates from a single store located in Omaha, Nebraska. Borsheims is a high volume retailer of jewelry, watches, crystal, china, stemware, flatware, gifts and collectibles. Helzberg�� Diamond Shops, Inc. (Helzberg), based in North Kansas City, Missouri, operates a chain of 233 retail jewelry stores in 37 states, which includes approximately 550,000 square feet of retail space. Most of Helzberg�� stores are located in malls, lifestyle centers or power strip centers, and all stores operate under the name Helzberg Diamonds. The Ben Bridge Corporation (Ben Bridge Jeweler), based in Seattle, Washington, operates a chain of 70 upscale retail jewelry stores located in 11 states that are primarily in the Western United States. Three of its locations are concept stores that sell only PANDORA jewelry.

Finance and Financial Products

Clayton Homes, Inc. (Clayton) is a vertically integrated manufactured housing company. At December 31, 2011, Clayton operated 33 manufacturing plants in 12 states. Clayton�� homes are marketed in 48 states through a network of 1,333 retailers, inclu! ding 333 ! Company-owned home centers. Financing is offered through its finance subsidiaries to purchasers of Clayton�� manufactured homes as well as those purchasing homes from selected independent retailers. XTRA Corporation (XTRA), headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, is a transportation equipment lessor operating under the XTRA Leasebrand name. XTRA manages a diverse fleet of approximately 83,000 units located at 63 facilities throughout the United States and two facilities in Canada. The fleet includes over-the-road and storage traile

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Jonas Elmerraji]

    You don't have to be an expert technical analyst to figure out what's going on in shares of Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) -- this big conglomerate has been in a textbook uptrend since the start of 2013. That's propelled shares of the $287 billion firm by more than 30% year-to-date, nearly doubling the broad market's gains over the same period.

    Now Berkshire's channel higher is pointing towards an end to the recent churning in shares.

    Trendline support is strong in Berkshire Hathaway: this stock has bounced higher each of the last five times shares have tested the bottom of the channel. This week, with shares creeping closer and closer to support, it makes sense to be a buyer on the bounce. Buying off a support bounce makes sense for two big reasons: it's the spot where shares have the furthest to move up before they hit resistance, and it's the spot where the risk is the least (because shares have the least room to move lower before you know you're wrong).

    If you decide to jump into Berkshire here, I'd recommend putting in a stop on the other side of the 50-day moving average; it's been a good proxy for support in the last few months.

  • [By Buffett]

     Berkshire Hathaway (BRK-B) -- could be one such value play right now. Suppressed by weakness in its industry and exposure to troubled financial stocks, among other things, these class B shares have slipped 13% from their 2011 closing high on Feb. 28 to trade recently for around $76. (Class A shares, which go for more than $110,000 each, have been equally weak.)

    At current prices, the stock trades about 30% below intrinsic value -- the true value of all its businesses combined -- estimates Whitney Tilson of T2 Partners, a hedge fund that owns Berkshire shares. "It's just about the cheapest we've ever seen it," says Tilson. Buffett himself, and his longtime investing partner Charlie Munger, have been publicly dropping hints that their stock might be a good buy now, says Pat Dorsey, director of research and strategy at Sanibel Captiva Trust.

    But there are a lot of investments wrapped into Berkshire, so it's worth looking under the hood for the solid core of the master's stock portfolio. Following is a look at seven of Buffett's best stock plays, why he owns them and why they make sense as buys if a weak market lies ahead.

Top Insurance Companies To Buy For 2014: W.R. Berkley Corporation(WRB)

W. R. Berkley Corporation, an insurance holding company, operates as commercial lines writers in the property casualty insurance business primarily in the United States. The company operates in five segments: Specialty, Regional, Alternative Markets, Reinsurance, and International. The Specialty segment underwrites third-party liability risks, primarily excess, and surplus lines, including premises operations, professional liability, commercial automobile, products liability, and property lines. The Regional segments provide commercial insurance products to small-to-mid-sized businesses, and state and local governmental entities primarily in the 45 states of the United States. The Alternative Markets segment develops, insures, reinsures, and administers self-insurance programs and other alternative risk transfer mechanisms. This segment offers its services to employers, employer groups, insurers, and alternative market funds, as well as provides a range of fee-based servic es, including consulting and administrative services. The Reinsurance segment engages in the underwriting property casualty reinsurance on a treaty and a facultative basis, including individual certificates and program facultative business; and specialty and standard reinsurance lines, and property and casualty reinsurance. The International segment offers personal and commercial property casualty insurance in South America; commercial property casualty insurance in the United Kingdom and continental Europe; and reinsurance in Australia, Southeast Asia, and Canada. The company was founded in 1967 and is based in Greenwich, Connecticut.

Top Insurance Companies To Buy For 2014: Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd (FRFHF.PK)

Fairfax Financial Holdings Limited (Fairfax) is a financial services holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, is principally engaged in property and casualty insurance and reinsurance and the associated investment management. The Company�� segments consist of Insurance, Reinsurance, Insurance and Reinsurance Other, Runoff, and Corporate and Other. On December 22, 2011, the Company completed the acquisition of 75% interests in Sporting Life Inc. On August 16, 2011, the Company acquired William Ashley China Corporation. On March 24, 2011, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Fairfax completed the acquisition of The Pacific Insurance Berhad. On February 9, 2011, an indirect wholly owned subsidiary of Fairfax completed the acquisition of First Mercury Financial Corporation. In October 2012, its RiverStone runoff subsidiary acquired all the outstanding shares of Brit Insurance Limited.

Top Insurance Companies To Buy For 2014: Genworth Financial Inc (GNW)

Genworth Financial, Inc., a financial security company, provides insurance, wealth management, investment, and financial solutions in the United States and internationally. The company offers various insurance and fixed annuity products, including life and long-term care insurance products; payment protection insurance products for consumers primarily to meet specified payment obligations; and wealth management products, such as managed account programs with advisor support and financial planning services. It also provides mortgage insurance products and related services to insure prime-based, individually underwritten residential mortgage loans or flow mortgage insurance; and mortgage insurance on a structured or bulk basis, as well as offers services, analytical tools, and technology that enable lenders to operate and manage risk. In addition, the company provides institutional products consisting of funding agreements, funding agreements backing notes, and guaranteed in vestment contracts. Genworth Financial, Inc. distributes its products and services through financial intermediaries, advisors, independent distributors, affinity groups, and sales specialists. The company was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.